ELON MUSK SAYS SPACEX WILL “PROBABLY” LAND HUMANS ON THE MOON BY 2024,

BUT THEY WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME A FEW HURDLES FIRST.

NASA

Rather than later, sooner is preferable.

Elon Musk, the founder of SpaceX, has hinted that Starship will be ready to land astronauts on the Moon before the estimated launch date of 2024.

Musk was responding to a tweet from a Tesla CEO on Saturday asking if the super heavy-lift launch vehicle will be ready to transport astronauts to the lunar surface by 2024, to which he replied, "Probably sooner."

Is he correct?

Of course, this may just be more of the typical Elon bravado we've all grown to despise and adore — especially given SpaceX's track record of missing mission and launch dates.

There's also the reality that Artemis will be a particularly difficult mission, requiring anywhere from eight to sixteen launches to prepare for a single voyage to the Moon. A lunar landing in 2024, according to NASA's own inspector general, is "not viable" due to delays in spacesuit development.

However, there are evidence that things are heading in the right direction. For one thing, SpaceX recently affixed Starship to the Super Heavy launcher, making it the world's largest rocket. They're simply waiting for the FAA to complete an environmental evaluation before attempting their first orbital test launch. As a result, there's a strong probability Starship will enter orbit in the fall.

In addition, according to Fox Business, NASA just made a $300 million payment to SpaceX for the planned $3 billion project. So, at the very least, the EPA is still confident in Musk's company's ability to complete the task.

In any case, it's best to treat planned launch dates for large, complex missions like Artemis with caution. The objective will be completed eventually — and even if you want to dunk on Blue Origin, it's best not to rush things (looking at you, Elon).

This article is originally published in - futurism

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